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Modeling and Simulation of Urbanisation in Greater Bangalore, India
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1Energy and Wetlands Research Group, Centre for Ecological Sciences [CES],
2Centre for Sustainable Technologies, 3Centre for infrastructure, Sustainable Transportation and Urban Planning (CiSTUP),
Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore – 560012, India.
*Corresponding author: cestvr@ces.iisc.ernet.in

ABSTRACT

The potential of Markov chain and cellular automata model for predicting the spatial and temporal urban growth dynamics has been evaluated for rapidly urbanizing Bangalore, India. The growth of Bangalore is visualized for the year 2020 using business as usual scenario. Multi temporal land use information, derived from remotesensing data of 2008, 2010 and 2012 have been used for simulation and validation. Urban growth patterns and processes were quantitatively assessed with the use of landscape metrics. The results indicate that the future expansion of greater Bangalore will be in the peri- urban landscapes, due to the current clumped urbanisation at the city core with little scope for further urban densification.  Urban simulation modeling in conjunction with spatial metrics is effective in capturing and visualizing the spatio–temporal patterns of urbanisation with insights to the trajectory of urban growth for effective planning of the city.

Keywords: Urban sprawl, Remote Sensing, Cellular Automata, Markov Chain, Modeling

 

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Citation : Bharath H Aithal, Vinay S, Durgappa S and  Ramachandra T V, Modeling and Simulation of Urbanisation in Greater Bangalore, India, Proc. of National Spatial Data Infrastructure 2013 conference, IIT Bombay, November 29-30, 2013
* Corresponding Author :
Dr. T.V. Ramachandra
Energy & Wetlands Research Group, Centre for Ecological Sciences, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore – 560 012, India.
Tel : +91-80-2293 3099/2293 3503 [extn - 107],      Fax : 91-80-23601428 / 23600085 / 23600683 [CES-TVR]
E-mail : cestvr@ces.iisc.ernet.in, energy@ces.iisc.ernet.in,     Web : http://wgbis.ces.iisc.ernet.in/energy, http://ces.iisc.ernet.in/grass
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